MON: AWESOME MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL record of 19-6-1 ATS (76%) including 14-4 ATS (78%) L18 MNF Best Bets! NFL Weekday Best Bets 54-30-3 ATS since 2021! After winning again on MNF last week w/UNDER (44.5) with a final score of LAC 15 to Arizona 13.
Since 1989, Cajun-Sports has been the preferred destination for serious sports investors looking for comprehensive statistics and systems tailored for wagering against the point spread combined with effective betting strategies that consistently beat the Vegas line. Listed below are just a few of Cajun Sports accomplishments over the last three decades.
2009 Vegas Wise Guys Contest Champion (24-12 ATS 67% overall) (Best Bets 13-5 ATS 72%), 2009 National Handicappers Bowl #2 NFL Totals Division with 64.9% winners and a profit of +2920 Units, 2001 USA Monitor MLB Overall Season Champion, 2008 National Handicappers Bowl #2 NFL, 2005 CFL #1 Overall Season Champion, 2004 CFB #1 Overall Champion, 2004 #3 NFL Overall, 2005 #1 NBA Champion, #4 CBB Overall, 2012 CFB #1 Champion, NFL #3 Overall, NFL #1 Totals Division Champion, 2014 CBB #1 Overall Season Champion, 2001 #1 NHL Overall Season Champion, 2008 MLB #2 Overall, 2013 #2 CFB, NBA #3, 2014 NFL #4, CFB #6, 2012 #1 CBB Overall Season Champion, 2014 NBA #2 Playoffs, 2014-15 CBB #1 Overall Season Champion
Cajun Sports Wire success has come from hard work and dedication including mastery of the Sports Data Query Language (SDQL). For more than three decades Cajun Sports Wire has consistently provided their clients with winning selections in all major sports. To attain this type of success there are no short cuts you must have the time and resources to make your clients long term winners. Our goals and beliefs are the same today as the first day we opened for business in 1989; we believe “Success is where Preparation meets Opportunity”.
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PREVIOUS FIVE DAYS' PICKS
Monday, October 28, 2024
New York Giants vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (NFL) - 8:15 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: +6/-110 New York Giants Pick Title: KING OF MNF 78% ATS!
Loss
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Week Eight of the NFL season comes to an end in the Steel City as the visiting New York Giants face off against the host Pittsburgh Steelers under the Monday night lights. Based on the line which currently has the Steelers minus six points against the Giants the public seems to think the one good performance from QB Russell Wilson has cured all that ills them. We think this will be a much tougher game than most are expecting, including the Steelers. Veteran quarterbacks playing with a new team have struggled in non-Sunday games playing under the lights posting a record of 22-34 SU and 22-33-1 ATS. Monday Night Football games featuring non-conference opponents the home team has come up short when covering the spread at 14-33-2 ATS and barely a winning record SU with a record of 25-24 SU. Also, in MNF games the team with the better record is only 23-41-2 ATS as long as the teams do not have identical records. New York’s one bright spot has been their defense. The Giants have played better away from home this season posting a record of 2-1 both straight up and against the spread. Their offense averages 22.7 points per game while their defense allows an average of just 18.7 points per game. When facing teams from the AFC they are 1-1 SU/ATS averaging just 14.0 points per game with their defense holding opponents to just 16.0 points per game. The Steelers are 2-1 SU/ATS at home averaging 24.7 points per game with their defense allowing an average of 15.0 points per game. When facing teams from the NFC they are 1-1 SU/ATS averaging 17.5 points per game while their defense is giving up 15.0 points per game. The TPR Index projects a point advantage of 1.03 points. The MM projects a point differential of -5.18 points against the current line range. The SIM Matrix has the New York Giants with a 73.96 percent advantage versus the oddsmakers number. Play ON NFL road underdogs in the current price range allowing a completion percentage of sixty-four percent or worse after allowing 5.5 or fewer passing yards per attempt in their last game, 34-9 ATS (79%)(+$2,410). Play ON NFL road underdogs in the current price range being outscored by seven or more points per game after scoring nine or fewer points in two straight games, 28-7 ATS (80%)(+$2,030). We are going to take the generous points as the Giants take the Steelers down to the final gun.
GAME PREDICTION: 8* New York Giants 20 Pittsburgh Steelers 21
Sunday, October 27, 2024
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Cincinnati Bengals (NFL) - 1:00 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: +2.5/-110 Philadelphia Eagles Pick Title: NFL 9* BEST BETS 100% ATS! NFL 9* Top Play!
Win
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The Eagles are on the road in the Queen City taking on the host Bengals late Sunday afternoon. Based on our numbers the wrong team is favored here. When you look at the stats it appears the Stripped Ones may have righted the ship to some degree of late. But you must remember that they have yet to defeat a team with a winning record. Even with Burrow improving their problem on defense continues to be a huge problem for this team. The Bengals are terrible ranked 30th in opponent rush EPA and 21st in passing yards allowed. The Eagles have shown improvement on both sides of the ball recently in fact their defense has allowed just 4.4 yards per play over their last three games which happens to be the lowest mark in the league. On offense the Bengals are averaging 25.4 points per game which ranks tenth best. They have the eighth-best passing attack with 237.4 passing yards per game. They are the third worst team in the league when it comes to running the ball, averaging just 94.3 rushing yards per game. Philadelphia is averaging 22.3 points per game which ranks seventeenth best in the league. The Eagles have the second-best rushing attack with 166.7 yards per game overland. They are averaging 195.5 passing yards per game which has them ranked twenty-second in the league. On defense, the Eagles are allowing 19.2 points per game which ranks sixth best in the NFL. They have the tenth best passing defense as they are giving up just 189.2 yards per game. Opponents are averaging 115.2 rushing yards per game which has them ranked fourteenth. A quick check of the stats we see the Bengals have lost their last four games on the stat sheet while giving up season-high yardage in two of their last three games. It’s hard to win in the NFL and facing that type of mountain to climb every time you take the field makes the job even tougher. Our numbers tell us the wrong team is favored here and losing the stats in this contest will be costly in the win-loss column. The TPR Index projects a point advantage of 4.21 points in favor of the Eagles. The MM projects a point differential of -6.38 points against the current line range. The SIM Matrix has the Philadelphia Eagles with a 74.27 percent advantage versus the oddsmakers number. The projected OFF-DEF splits have the Eagles with a projected 4.86-point advantage in this contest. Play ON certain NFL underdogs of more than two points when the team had no two-point conversions in their last game, 31-10 ATS (76%)(+%2.000). Play AGAINST NFL teams when their opponent had thirty-eight or more rushes in their last game and the current total is forty-six or more points when their opponents last game went Under the posted total, 38-15 ATS (72%)(+$2,150). We know the Bengals have owned this series when it comes to covering the spread winning eleven straight, but we went back and reviewed each of those ATS wins and this situation has the wrong team favored so we are going to take the points here. We are going to take the points with the Eagles as they shock the host Bengals on Sunday afternoon in the Queen City.
GAME PREDICTION: 9* PHILADELPHIA EAGLES 26 CINCINNATI BENGALS 21
Dallas Cowboys vs. San Francisco 49ers (NFL) - 8:20 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: +5/-110 Dallas Cowboys Pick Title: SNF BEST BET SUNDAY! 74% ATS!
Loss
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The Stars on the road for the NFL’s featured Sunday Night Game of the Week as they take the field against the Niners. San Francisco has looked nothing like the Super Bowl runner ups from last season. They have lost games by six, one, three and ten points already this season with the most recent being that ten-point loss to the defending champs KC. Their wins have come against the Pats, and Jets who have combined for a 3-11 record although they did go on the road and defeat the Seahawks a couple weeks ago. The 49ers defense is twenty-third in yards per pass allowed and seventeenth in passing yards allowed in the league. They also rank middle of the pack in sacks this season which is more good news for a struggling Cowboys offense. The Cowboys are off a bye week and a blowout loss at home to the Lions prior to that. Dallas is 0-3 at home but a perfect 3-0 on the road this season. Our numbers project a close game but one that the Cowboys win. The TPR Index projects a point advantage of 1.93 points in favor of Dallas. The MM projects a point differential of -5.73 points against the current line range. The SIM Matrix has the Dallas Cowboys with a 73.97 percent advantage versus the oddsmakers number. The OFF-DEF splits have a projected point advantage of +2.04 for the Cowboys. Play AGAINST NFL home favorites rushing for an average of 4.5 or more yards per rush, after being outrushed by at least seventy-five yards in their last game, 83-41 ATS (67%). Play AGAINST NFL home favorites in the current price range coming off a loss by ten or more points facing an opponent after falling behind by two touchdowns at the half in their last game, 65-29 ATS (69%) including a perfect 2-0 ATS this season. We are going to back the Stars on Sunday night as they get a much-needed win over the Niners tonight.
GAME PREDICTION: 8* DALLAS COWBOYS 29 SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS 27
Saturday, October 26, 2024
New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (MLB) - 10:00 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Total: 8.5/-125 Over Pick Title: RED HOT MLB Best Bets 60%!
Loss
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The Dodgers won a thriller in Game One with a walk-off grand slam in extra innings to take a 1-0 series lead against the visiting Yankees. The Yankees will send Carlos Rodon to the bump with his 16-9 SU record with an ERA of 3.96. Rodon has started three games in the postseason. He is 1-1 SU with a 4.40 ERA. He started twice against the Guardians and the Yankees won both games. The Dodgers will send Yoshinobu Yamamoto to the mound. The right-handed pitcher had a 7-2 SU record and an ERA of 3.00 in the regular season. He has started three games in the postseason with a 1-0 record and an ERA of 5.11. Yamamoto threw 4.1 inning against the Mets in the ALCS. He allowed two runs and four hits in that game. The Yankees are hitting .239 in ten postseason games. They have hit 14 home runs and 14 doubles to this point. Juan Soto has played in every postseason game, and he is hitting .333 while Anthony Rizzo has a .389 batting average in six postseason games. Giancarlo Stanton has been on a roll of late with a team-high thirteen RBIs and he has six home runs which is three more than anyone else on the team during the month of October. The Yankees hit .226 in three games against the Dodgers in the regular season. The Dodgers are hitting .248 in twelve postseason games this month. They have hit twenty-one home runs, two triples and ten doubles as their offense has been rolling. Los Angeles has been led by Tommy Edman with a batting average of .354 in twelve games. Shohei Ohtani and Mookie Betts are hitting .277 in the month of October. Betts leads the team with four home runs and thirteen RBIs. In the regular season, the Dodgers hit .226 against the boys from Gotham. Our TPR Index projects a run total of 13.93 runs. The Teams MM Ratings have NY Yankees with a projected run total of +2.54 above their season average. The LA Dodgers have a projected run total of +2.37 above their season to date average. The SIM Matrix has the OVER with a 73.92 percent advantage against the oddsmakers total in tonight’s contest. Play OVER on MLB teams during this time of year when both teams are playing on no rest, 64-29 OVER (69%)(+$3,216). Play OVER on Dodgers playoff games when they are playing on no rest, 19-4 OVER (83%)(+$1,475). We are going to play this one to sail over the posted total on Saturday night in the City of Angels. OVER
Penn State vs. Wisconsin (NCAAF) - 7:30 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: +6.5/-110 Wisconsin Pick Title: CFB 9* Best Bets 80% ATS TY!
Loss
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The undefeated Nittany Lions of Penn State take their show on the road to Madison Wisconsin where they will find 80K fans screaming for their hometown team the Badgers of Wisconsin. This is a huge game for the Lions and for the Badgers with the Lions looking for a ticket to the 12-team playoff at the end of the season. It is also a huge game for Wisconsin, they face Penn State enough said. Penn State has dominated this series of late and the Badgers would love nothing more than taking down the 6-0 Lions at home on a Saturday night. We are not going to break down all the stats they are available to review online. These teams are remarkably close when you look at the numbers with the Lions undefeated and the Badgers who come into this one with a 5-2 SU record on the year. We want to play ON CFB home team off three or more consecutive wins facing an opponent who has won at least their last five in a row, 66-30 ATS (69%)(+$3,300) including 1-0 ATS this season. Play ON CFB Underdogs in the current price range coming off two straight wins against conference rivals, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team, 70-33 ATS (68%)(+$3,370) including 4-2 ATS this season. Play ON CFB Underdogs in the current price range coming off three straight wins against conference rivals, with a winning record on the season, 46-17 ATS (72%)(+$3,720). Our exclusive power ratings project a tight contest with the Badgers hanging in there until the end. The TPR Index projects a point advantage of 0.66 points in favor of the Lions. The MM projects a point differential of -6.02 points against the current line range in this contest. The SIM Matrix has the Badgers with a 74.7 percent advantage against the oddsmakers number in tonight’s game. The OFF-DEF splits have the Lions with a 0.86-point advantage over the Badgers tonight. Penn State has a huge game on deck as play host to the Buckeyes next week in State College. That will be by far their biggest game of the year during the regular season. While the Badgers will be making a trip to Iowa City for their game against the host Iowa Hawkeyes next Saturday. As we mentioned Penn State has a monumental task ahead of them next week and they could easily get caught looking ahead here. Can Nittany Lions head coach James Franklin keep his troops focused on the job at hand or will they fall victim on Saturday night in Wisconsin? From Game 6 on, play AGAINST an undefeated Saturday road favorite not off allowing thirty-five or more points versus an opponent off two road SU wins. This system has a record of 18-3 ATS for 86 percent winners and a profit of +$1,470. Finally, we note the Badgers are 14-2 ATS as a conference underdog with a win percentage of .700 or higher on the season including a perfect 13-0 ATS as an underdog of more than two points. We know the Nittany Lions have owned this series of late but with 80,000 fans at Camp Randall and a highly motivated Badgers team we will take the points in Wisconsin on Saturday night.
GAME PREDICTION: 9* WISCONSIN BADGERS 23 PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS 24
Kansas vs. Kansas State (NCAAF) - 8:00 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -10/-105 Kansas State Pick Title: CFB Big 12 Top Play Saturday! Big 12 8* Sat Night
Loss
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The Kansas Jayhawks are making the short trip instate from Lawrence to Manhattan Kansas for their Big 12 battle against the Wildcats of Kansas State. The Bill Snyder Family Stadium to be exact and this will be a very hostile environment for the visiting Jayhawks. Kansas State has won fifteen straight in this series and has posted a record of 11-4 ATS over that same span. They have faced one common opponent to this point in the season with both of these teams travelling to Morgantown to take on the hometown West Virginia Mountaineers. Kansas was installed as a +1-point underdog against the Mountaineers, and they were defeated 32 to 28. The Wildcats made the same trip to Morgantown last week and they were installed as -2.5-point road chalk. The Cats dominated the boys from West Virginia winning with ease 45 to 18. On the stat sheet we see the Cats have a huge advantage on the defensive side of the ball especially when facing conference foes where the Cats hold opposing offenses to more than one-hundred yards less in total offense than the Jayhawks defense. The difference is not as big on the offensive side, but it is significant and the combination of those two should be more than enough for this Wildcats team to roll to another victory. Kansas averages 214 yards rushing per game on 5.8 yards per carry, but they face a K-State defense that allows just 83 yards rushing per game on 2.7 yards per carry. They are also disruptive in their opponents passing game with twenty sacks already this season. The Cats are averaging a +150 yards per game advantage along with a twenty-seven-point advantage over their opponents at home this season. The Cats are 13-2 ATS at home versus conference foes winning those games by an average of twenty-three points per game. Kansas is just 5-11 ATS as a road underdog under head coach Leipold their last sixteen in this situation. The TPR Index projects a point advantage of 14.29 points in favor of the Wildcats. The MM projects a point differential of +5.95 points against the current line range in this contest. The SIM Matrix has the Wildcats with a 73.98 percent advantage against the oddsmakers number in tonight’s game. The OFF-DEF splits have the Wildcats with a 6.01-point advantage over the Jayhawks tonight. Play AGAINST CFB road underdogs in the current price range coming off a win by ten or more points over a conference rival facing an opponent coming off three straight wins against conference rivals, 77-38 ATS (67%)(+$3,520). We are going to back the home team tonight in Manhattan as they roll past an overmatched Jayhawks team.
GAME PREDICTION: 8* KANSAS STATE WILDCATS 34 KANSAS JAYHAWKS 19
Friday, October 25, 2024
Boise State vs. UNLV (NCAAF) - 10:30 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: +3.5/-110 UNLV Pick Title: CFB FRI NIGHT BEST BETS 100%!
Loss
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We are in Sin City Friday night for a MWC battle between the host Rebels of UNLV and the visiting Broncos of Boise State. The top two teams in the conference take the field tonight in what could be a preview of the MWC championship in December. This is an important game with a playoff invitation coming from that winner. So, punching your ticket to the conference championship is all that really matters now. Boise State is led Heisman hopeful running back Ashton Jeanty who leads the nation with 1,248 rushing yards and he also has seventeen touchdowns. UNLV looked to be a big trouble earlier this season when quarterback Matthew Sluka chose to sit out and redshirt due to an NIL dispute. His replacement, Hajj-Malik Williams, has actually performed better, completing 70.5 percent of his passes with ten touchdowns and just two interceptions in his four starts this season. Though he struggled against Oregon State, only throwing for 196 yards, with one touchdown, and one interception. But the good news for UNLV was he delivered in the clutch to lead the Rebels to a narrow victory over the Beavers. Both of tonight’s teams are coming in off victories their last time out. We know the Rebels have done a nice job of using that momentum in their next game because they have posted a record of 16-5 ATS in this situation. UNLV is 7-0 ATS when coming off at least one straight Over. They are also 10-1 ATS coming off a non-conference game. Our TPR Index projects a point advantage of 2.6 points in favor of the Rebels. The MM projects a point differential of -5.89 points against the current line range. The SIM Matrix has the UNLV REBELS with a 73.98 percent advantage against the oddsmakers number tonight. Play ON CFB home teams after going over the total by twenty-one or more points total in their last three games, with a team winning at least eighty percent of their games and facing a team with a winning record on the season, 37-10 AT (79%)(+$2,600). We are going to take the points with the home underdog in Sin City on Friday night.
GAME PREDICTION: 8* UNLV REBELS 40 BOISE STATE BRONCOS 38
Thursday, October 24, 2024
Minnesota Vikings vs. Los Angeles Rams (NFL) - 8:15 PM EDT
Week Eight of the NFL season kicks off Thursday night at SoFi Stadium as the LA Rams play host to the boys from the Twin Cities the Minnesota Vikings. In tonight’s game our focus is on the total and it appears everyone is betting on the high side tonight. Basing that primarily on the fact the Vikings can score averaging 27.3 points per game away from home this season while their defense is allowing 17.3 points per game. But in their last three games those numbers have come closer to even over that span with the Vikings averaging 27.7 points per game while their defense is allowing 25.7 points per game. For the Rams they average 22.0 points per game at home with their defense giving up an average of 21.0 points per game here. Their last three games have seen the Rams average 19.0 points per game with their defense allowing an average of 21.0 points per game. This game qualifies in our Reverse Momentum Matrix when it comes to the total. Both teams come into this contest with negative points projected when compared to their season averages. The Vikings have a Reverse Momentum average of -3.97 points with the Rams coming in with an average of -2.4 points. That gives us a combined average of -6.37 points against the current total range. Add it all up and we should have a solid play on the low side tonight. Additional support for the low side comes from our power numbers. Our TPR Index projects a game total of 42.6 points. The MM projects a total point differential of -6.32 points against the current total range in this contest. The SIM Matrix has the UNDER with a 73.98 percent advantage against the oddsmakers number in tonight’s game. Our adjusted OFF-DEF splits project a combined total point differential of -5.84. The last twenty-four NFL Thursday night football games have seen the home underdog struggle to score averaging just 14.7 points per game which has translated into sixteen of the last twenty-two of those games going Under the posted total. Under the primetime lights the Rams are 4-13 Under while the Vikings are 11-21 Under. Play UNDER on NFL teams after allowing 4.5 or less passing yards per attempt in their last game against an opponent after allowing eight or more passing yards per attempt in their last game, 11-43 UNDER (80%) including 1-4 Under this season. Play UNDER on NFL road teams who average scoring twenty-seven or more points per game, after allowing at least thirty points in their last game, 13-40 UNDER (76%) including a perfect 0-2 Under this season. Play UNDER on NFL road teams who outscore their opponents by four or more points per game after allowing at least thirty points in their last game, 7-33 UNDER (83%) including a perfect 0-1 Under this season. With an all systems go for the low side of tonight’s total we will play this one to come up well short of the oddsmakers’ number.
GAME PREDICTION: 8* UNDER MINNESOTA VIKINGS 20 vs LA RAMS 22
Another week of college football is in the books and our College System of the Week cashed another winning ticket. Last week our College Football System of the Week called for a play ON the Louisville Cardinals (-13.5) over the Boston College Eagles. The Cardinals did not disappoint rolling to a 56 to 28 victory over the Eagles. Giving our System of the Week a record of 3-1 ATS this season and 43-
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MON: AWESOME MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL record of 19-6-1 ATS (76%) including 14-4 ATS (78%) L18 MNF Best Bets! NFL Weekday Best Bets 54-30-3 ATS since 2021! After winning again on MNF last week w/UNDER (44.5) with a final score of LAC 15 to Arizona 13. Read More