Cajun Sports

The Temple Owls play host to the Minutemen of Massachusetts on Wednesday night. The Minutemen won their most recent clash which took place two years ago with the Minutemen hanging on to a 70 to 67 victory over the Owls. The Owls have owned their home floor when facing UMass winning the last seven meetings here. UMass comes into this contest off a SU win against Providence winning by a single-point 79 to 78 on the road. In that game UMass was down by twenty-points in the first half but managed to claw their way back into the game and get the win. How much do they have left for this road game? We know they are only 4-12 ATS coming off a win and 2-11 ATS coming off an ATS win their last time out. Massachusetts coming off a SU/ATS win in their last game and now play in the current price range are only 1-10 against the spread in this situation. UMass has a record of 6-4 SU on the season and this came against our #312 ranked schedule. Temple has a record of 7-2 SU on the year defeating the teams they are supposed to defeat with a record of 6-0 SU against teams ranked outside the top 100 in the nation. The TPR Index projects a point advantage of 17.38 points. The MM projects a point differential of 8.16 with a line range of -9.0 to -11.5. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has an offensive-defensive differential of 7.35 with a transitional average of 42.1 and a conversion rate range of 44.83 to 46.92 percent in tonight’s contest. The SIM Matrix has the Temple Owls with a 72.49 percent advantage against the spread in this contest. We are going to lay the points with the Temple Owls on Wednesday night as they roll past an overmatched Minutemen team.

The Toronto Raptors are in the City of Angels on Tuesday night taking on the host LA Clippers. The Clippers are playing the second-game in a back-to-back situation after defeating the Suns in Phoenix Monday night 123 to 119. This is important in that the Clippers average 125 points per game in the second of back-to-back contests this average is above their overall average of 115.9 points per game. On the defensive end of the floor the Clippers are allowing opposing offenses an average of 115.6 points per game in the second game of a back-to-back situation. We look for the Raptors to take advantage of that weakness because they are currently fifth in the league averaging 115.4 points per game this season. Toronto is twelfth in the league with an average of 45.8 rebounds per game. The TPR Index projects a game total of 229.1 points. The MM projects a game total differential of 7.52 with a total range of 222.0 to 224.5. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has an offensive-defensive differential of 7.78 with a transitional average of 42.95 and a conversion rate range of 46.70 to 48.87 percent in tonight’s contest. The SIM Matrix has the Over with a 72.41 percent advantage against the oddsmakers number in this contest. We know this series when played in LA has seen the Under cash in twelve of their last fifteen meetings, but tonight’s game has Over indicators on both ends of the floor for both teams. We want to play Over in all NBA games with a team coming off a game in which they allowed 115 or more points, 28-9 Over the last two years. The Raptors facing a non-conference opponent coming off a SU loss as a favorite in their last game have gone Over at a rate of 45-21-1 Over including 25-8 Over if they are playing on the road and an almost perfect 9-1 Over if they are a road favorite. We want to play Over with the LA Clippers installed as a non-conference underdog because they are 38-20-2 Over. The Clippers facing a winning team and coming off a SU win as a favorite have seen the Over cash at a rate of 14-5 Over including a perfect 5-0 Over if they were on the road in their last game. We want to play Over on NBA non-conference road favorites coming off four straight games that went Under the posted total, 25-9 Over and 16-5 Over if they went Under in their last five straight. With significant support for the high side we will play this meeting to go Over the posted total on Tuesday night.

Due to time constraints we do not have our normal write-ups. The Sunday Night Game of the Week features the Los Angeles Rams traveling to the Second City for an NFC battle against the host Chicago Bears. The Pittsburgh Steelers versus the Oakland Raiders fell victim to the NFL’s flex-game scheduling option bumping them from the featured Sunday night slot. The Rams are led by QB Jared Goff who has completed 68 percent of his passes with a 26/6 TD/INT ratio this season. They can also run over you with one of the league’s best running backs in Todd Gurley who leads a rushing attack that averages 139 yards per game overland on 4.9 yards per carry. The Rams rushing attack may play a much larger role with the expected temperatures at game time to be in the mid to low twenties. The Bears have a wounded QB in Trubisky who is listed as probable for tonight’s game. Our TPR Index projects a point advantage of 10.82 points. The MM projects a point differential of 7.94 points. The SIM Matrix has the Los Angeles Rams with a 73.89 percent advantage against the oddsmakers number on Sunday night in the Second City. The Bears are 0-12 ATS at home when they allowed three-plus sacks in each of the last two weeks. We want to play AGAINST NFL underdogs in the current price range coming off back-to-back road games, 79-118-4 ATS including 61-98-3 ATS if they are a home underdog in this situation. We want to play ON NFL road favorites in the current price range coming off a pair of victories as a favorite in each game, 102-67-4 ATS. The combination of the better overall team and the fair market price that is still available on that team we will lay the chalk with the Rams on Sunday night in the Second City.

Due to time constraints we do not have our normal write-ups. We know home all home favorites of three or more points who were a home underdog of seven or more points the previous week are 1-13 Under since the 2004 season and 10-26-1 Under since the start of the database. The Eagles facing a conference foe and coming off a pair of games in which they were favored they have seen the Under cash at a rate of 49-71-4 Under including 22-43-1 Under in the current price range. Our TPR Index projects a game total average of 37.68 points. The MM projects a game total differential of -8.18 points. The SIM Matrix has the UNDER with a 73.53 percent advantage against the oddsmakers number in today’s contest. We want to play UNDER on NFL home favorites coming off back-to-back wins, 16-30 Under. We want to play UNDER on NFL home favorites coming off a pair of ATS wins, 14-29 Under. With significant support for the low side we will play this one to come up well short of the oddsmakers number on Sunday in Big D.