Cajun Sports

We are in New York where an intriguing interleague battle is taking place this weekend where the New York Mets are playing host to the New York Yankees. The Mets took Game One on Friday night winning 6 to 5 and extending the Yankees current skid to five games. Both teams are in the thick of their respective divisional races: the Yankees, after dominating much of the first half, have slipped recently and now trail the surging Toronto Blue Jays by two full games, while the Mets are in hot pursuit of the Phillies atop the National League East, just 1.5 games behind after notching their 50th win of the season against Milwaukee earlier in the week. Carlos Rodon, the Yankees’ southpaw, has been a stabilizing force amidst the team’s recent struggles. Entering Saturday’s contest, Rodon boasts a 9-5 SU record across 18 starts, including nine quality outings. His 2.95 ERA and sterling 1.00 WHIP speak to his effectiveness, particularly on the road, where he’s 4-2 with a 2.67 ERA in nine starts. He’s had his own share of recent adversity, with the Yankees losing four of his last five starts, but his road splits and tough demeanor make him a formidable challenge for the Mets’ hitters. The Mets come into this game hitting just .233 against lefties this season. They were dominated by Rodon in the first matchup as well, getting just two hits and a run against the hard-throwing lefty. The Yankees are hitting .250 against righties and have 95 home runs. The Mets will send former Yankee Frankie Montas to the bump with his 0-1 SU record and his ERA of 6.00 in two starts this season since returning from injury. Our TPR Index projects a run advantage of 1.68 runs. The SPMatrix has Carlos Rodon with an average of 8.01 compared to Frankie Montas who has an average of 4.43. Our next set of metrics looks at the overall Pitchers Power Ratings. Coming into this game and situation, Rodon has a rating of 124 while Montas has a rating of only 87 with the league average of 100. The SIM Matrix has the New York Yankees with a 73.99 percent advantage against the New York Mets in today’s contest. Play ON MLB teams as a favorite before the All-Star break when they are off a game in which they scored five or fewer runs and lost by one run, 665-417 SU (62%)(+$6,527). Play ON MLB road favorites when their bullpen has allowed at least one run in two straight games, 94-50 SU (65%)(+$2,340). Play ON MLB -120 or more favorites when they used five or more pitchers in a game yesterday, 5078-3133 SU (62%)(+$13,362) including 44-21 SU (68%)(+$935) L65 this season. The Yankees qualify in our Reverse Momentum Matrix trending in positive territory while the Mets are trending in negative territory in this situation. We are going to lay the chalk with the Yankees as they get a much-needed win behind Rodon on the hill. PREDICTION: 8* NEW YORK YANKEES 6 NEW YORK METS 3