Cajun Sports

The Roadrunners are on the road in Murfreesboro Friday night taking on the host Mid Tennessee State Blue Raiders. UTSA had twenty-one injured players coming out of the Texas game two weeks ago. They were missing their top 4 OT’s and are banged up at RB and OLB. The banged-up Roadrunners faced FCS opponent Texas Southern and only led 21 to 17 at the half before eventually pulling away for a 52 to 24 victory. the Blue Raiders are coming off their first-ever victory against a top-25 opponent, having defeated Miami 45 to 31 in a game in which they never trailed. This is not necessarily good news for the Blue Ones as home underdogs coming off a win as a twenty plus point underdog are only 8-18 ATS when hosting teams coming off a win of their own. As we mentioned that win against Miami was most likely the biggest win in the school’s history. The other contender would be their win back in 2012 over the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets. In that game they were installed as +24.5-point underdogs and pulled off the upset winning 49 to 28. The following week the Blue Raiders were home installed as a +3.5-point home underdog, and they lost 31 to 17. Very similar situation with the Blue Raiders at home and installed as a +4.5-point home underdog. Our TPR Index projects a point advantage of 11.07 points. The MM projects a point differential of +6.44 points against the current line range in this contest. The OFF-DEF splits have a projected point differential of +6.08 in favor of the Roadrunners. The SIM Matrix has UTSA with a 72.7 percent advantage against the oddsmakers number in tonight’s game. A quick check of the database we see there have been five teams this season that managed to pull off major upsets as at least eighteen-point underdogs. The following week after their major win they have failed to cover the spread in all five games coming up short of that number by more than two touchdowns. With solid support for the Roadrunners, we will lay the short price as they add another L to that 0-5 record. UTSA