SUNDAY SUPER BOWL 8* Reverse Top Ticket Special in the Chiefs versus Eagles contest.
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YESTERDAY'S PICKS
Sunday, February 09, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles (NFL) - 6:30 PM EST
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -1/-110 Kansas City Chiefs Pick Title: NFL REVERSE TOP TICKET 71% ATS!
Score Not Available At This Time
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
The NFL season nears the finish line with just one more game to decide who is the best team in the league this season. After researching both teams, we can make a compelling case for either team. Which is normally the case when you have the two best teams facing off after a full season of games and playoffs. With the Eagles coming off a huge blowout victory over the Commanders and KC struggling to get past the Bills, the public has jumped on the Eagles bandwagon believing they are far too good for the Chiefs. Although we have seen this situation before. It was in Super Bowl 57 where the Eagles had just crushed the 49ers winning 31 to 7 and the Chiefs had barely gotten past a pesky Bengals team winning 23 to 20. After those games the Eagles faced off against the Chiefs in Fifty-Seven, eventually losing 38 to 35. Very much like what happened this year leading up to the Super Bowl. The Eagles were able to get a measure of revenge in 2023 defeating KC in Arrowhead 21 to 17 during the regular season. Play AGAINST NFL teams that won the last matchup between the teams in the previous season and coming off a SU win where they went Over the total and their opponent is also coming off a game that went Over the total, 209-282 ATS (57%)(+$5,210). This will be the fifth Super Bowl featuring a head coaching rematch. The head coach who won the first meeting also won the second meeting in all four prior instances. You don't have to look very far for the last occurrence because it was Andy Reid beating Kyle Shanahan for the second time last season. The Chiefs are 8-0 SU/ATS in the playoffs when listed as an underdog or a favorite of less than a field goal. For Eagles backers the difference this season is they have Barkley running all over opposing defenses and they believe that will be the difference tonight. Philadelphia’s superior offensive Yards per Carry rushing, and Yards per Attempt passing: 5.1 ypc vs. 3.9 for KC; 7.8 YPA vs. 6.9 for KC. On defense, Philadelphia’s 5.5 YPA allowed is by far the lowest in the NFL. Houston was second-best in the league with a 6.2 YPA. Hold on the Chiefs beat Houston twice this season by eight and nine points respectively. A look back we see the San Francisco 49ers “enjoying” similar “edges” in those stats prior to last season’s Super Bowl, won by the Chiefs. In fact, the 49ers’ offensive YPA difference was even greater: 4.8 to the Chiefs’ 4.3 in yards per carry; 9.1 to the Chiefs’ 6.9 in YPA. The Chiefs seem to always have the ability to show their games are not played on paper. The story is always this team is built for causing the Chiefs problems and ultimately defeating the Chiefs. The question is has that ever worked? No because since the 18 campaign the Chiefs have won eighty percent of their regular season games, and they have posted a record of 16-2 in the postseason. The Chiefs were supposed to lose to the Ravens and their overly physical style in the AFC Championship Game last season. They didn’t. They were supposed to lay down for the physical superiority of the 49ers in the Super Bowl last season. They didn’t. To add salt to an open wound they beat the Ravens on opening night this season. The TPR Index projects a point advantage of 5.83 points. The MM projects a point differential of +5.27 points against the current line range. The SIM Matrix has the Kansas City Chiefs with a 73.98 percent advantage versus the oddsmakers number. The projected OFF-DEF splits have the Chiefs with a projected advantage of +4.94 points against the current line range. The Eagles qualify in our Reverse Momentum Matrix coming off four or more straight home victories and now traveling has them in negative Momentum numbers for this contest. While the Chiefs are trending in positive territory after coming off a close home win as a favorite of -2.5 or fewer points and only winning by five or fewer points. The Chiefs Momentum Matrix average is 9.06 out of a possible 12.0. The Eagles defensive coordinator Vic Fangio coached the Broncos for three seasons back in 2019 thru 2021. That was during a span where the Chiefs defeated the Broncos sixteen straight times. Vic Fangio coached defenses have faced Patrick Mahomes eight times. Those Fangio defenses are just 0-8 SU and 2-6 ATS with Mahomes posting a 10-2 TD/INT ratio in those games. Andy Reid and his troops are 34-7 SU and 26-15 ATS in games where his team has had an extra week to prepare and 4-1 SU/ATS when his Chiefs face the Eagles. In addition, Reid has been just fantastic as an underdog or a slight favorite of two or fewer points in games in which his team is coming off consecutive SUATS wins at 27-5-1 ATS, including 22-2 ATS in games against foes with a win percentage of greater than .600. Reid’s Chiefs have won a remarkable twelve one-score games this season and, dating back to last season, seventeen in a row. Until someone knocks off the Chiefs, we can find no reason to jump ship at this point in the season. We are going to lay the short number here as the Chiefs make history again by being the first team in history to win three Super Bowls in a row.
GAME PREDICTION: 8* KANSAS CITY CHIEFS 33 PHILADELPHIA EAGLES 27
Another week of college football is in the books and our College System of the Week cashed another winning ticket. Last week our College Football System of the Week called for a play ON the Louisville Cardinals (-13.5) over the Boston College Eagles. The Cardinals did not disappoint rolling to a 56 to 28 victory over the Eagles. Giving our System of the Week a record of 3-1 ATS this season and 43-
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SUNDAY SUPER BOWL 8* Reverse Top Ticket Special in the Chiefs versus Eagles contest. Read More