Cajun Sports

Tonight’s game will take place in Sao Paulo Brazil at the Corinthians Arena as the Green Bay Packers face off against the Philadelphia Eagles. These teams started last season and ended it at opposite ends of the spectrum. The Eagles opened the 23-campaign rolling taking ten wins in their first eleven games before having the wheels come off at the end of the season posting a record of 1-6 SU their last seven games. The Packers struggled to open last season they managed a 3-6 SU over their first nine games. With Jordan Love actually maturing at quarterback and consistently improving so did the entire team. They ended the season winning four of their last five games including the upset of the Dallas Cowboys in the playoffs winning 48 to 32 as seven-point road underdogs. Their next game was against the Forty Niners as +10.5-point road underdogs and they almost pulled off a major upset and punched their ticket to the Big Game. Unfortunately for them they eventually lost to the Niners 24 to 21 but their improvement over the course of the season was obvious. Its well documented that Eagles head coach Nick Sirianni and QB Jalen Hurts do not really get along. With the loss of one of the best centers in the history of the game in Jason Kelce there are some questions on the offensive line. The Eagles do have a ton of talent in the offensive trenches but losing their longtime leader will definitely have an effect on this offensive unit at least for a little while. On the defensive side the Eagles are weak on the edges and not able to really pressure opposing quarterbacks from that position. Philly brought in DC Vic Fangio, and he will eventually get this D straightened out, but he takes over a defense that was ranked 30th in the league in points per game allowed. Pace and tempo will be an issue in this one and the Packers hold the advantage in this department on both sides of the ball based on our early season Pace and Tempo Matrix. The TPR Index projects a point advantage of 3.29 points in favor of the Packers. The MM projects a point differential of -4.88 points against the current line range. The SIM Matrix has the Green Bay Packers with a 73.93 percent advantage against the oddsmakers number. The projected OFF-DEF Matrix splits have the Packers with a projected 3.09-point advantage in this contest. Play AGAINST NFL conference home favorites of 5 or fewer points with the underdog having the TPR Index advantage of 1.5 or more points and an OFF/DEF Matrix splits differential of 2.0 or more points. Playing against these conference home favorites has produced a record of 53-21-5 ATS (72%) including 10-0-1 ATS the last 11 qualifying contests. We are going to back the Packers on Friday night in Brazil as they pull off the upset against the Eagles. PACKERS

Due to time constraints, we do not have our normal writeups for this game. The Mets have been good to us lately. We have used them a couple of times during their recent run, and we are backing them again tonight. Fernando Cruz is set to take the mound for the Reds; he is 3-8 SU this season with a 4.99 ERA. Cruz has started twice this year, but it looks like his innings will be limited in this start as he has mainly worked out of the bullpen for most of the season. For New York, they will go to Sean Manaea, and he is 11-5 SU this season with a 3.35 ERA. Manaea has been pitching well in his last few starts, picking up back-to-back wins against the Diamondbacks and White Sox. In those starts Manaea gave up only three earned runs, struck out 16 in 13.2 innings of work. The TPR Index projects a run advantage of 1.76 runs. The SPMatrix has Sean Manaea with an average of 7.98 compared to Fernando Cruz who has an average of 4.46. Our next set of metrics looks at the overall Pitchers Power Ratings. Coming into this game and situation Manaea has a rating of 127 while Cruz has a rating of only 72 with the league average of 100. The SIM Matrix has the New York Mets with a 73.99 percent advantage against the Cincinnati Reds in tonight’s contest. Play AGAINST MLB road underdogs coming off a SU WIN in which they were shut out in the first six innings, 271-173 SU (61%)(+$1,636). We are going to lay the chalk with the Metropolitans as they roll to another victory at home on Friday night. METS