Cajun Sports

The Golden State Warriors were in the Twin Cities last night taking on the Timberwolves. They now must travel to the Mile High City and play at elevation in the second of a back-to-back. After suffering a fourth quarter collapse last night fatigue could certainly play a key role in this one. A weakened Warriors team facing a well-rested Nuggets team should cause problems for Golden State on both ends of the floor. We expect the Warriors to sit some of their key starting personnel for tonight’s game. Even if they didn’t, we still favor the Nuggets in this one. The Denver offense led by Nikola Jokic has one of the most efficient offenses in the league. The Nuggets rank first in offensive rating and score the sixth most points per game on the season. We are not going to go through all of the stats that support our play on the Denver Nuggets tonight they are readily available online. Although we will share our numbers as they favor the Nuggets in this situation. The TPR Index projects a point advantage of 18.52 points. The MM projects a point differential of +7.96 against the current line range. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has an offensive-defensive differential of 7.67. The SIM Matrix has the Denver Nuggets with a 73.98 percent advantage against the oddsmakers number in this contest. We know Golden State as a conference road underdog and coming off an ATS loss as a favorite are only 38-70-2 ATS. The Warriors as a conference underdog and coming off a SU/ATS loss as a favorite are only 34-60-2 ATS. Finally the Warriors in all games versus Denver and coming off a SU/ATS loss as a favorite are only 34-61-2 ATS. With solid support both situationally and fundamentally for the home team we will lay the double-digits on Thursday night in the Mile High City as the Nuggets roll to an easy victory over the Warriors. DENVER NUGGETS

The FAU Owls are on the Conference USA road for a Thursday night game against the host Blazers of UAB at Bartow Arena in Birmingham Alabama. The red-hot Owls arrive riding a twenty-game win streak while the Blazers have managed a two-game winning streak off back-to-back wins. The Blazers could pull off the upset here tonight it wouldn’t come as some huge surprise to this bureau but our interest is on the total. These two faced one another back on January 5th with the Owls coming away with a hard-fought victory winning 88 to 86. The Owls average 74.4 points per game versus teams that allow an average of 70.5 points per game. On the defensive end of the floor the Owls allow an average of 65.2 points per game versus teams that average 69.6 points per game. FAU has an offensive adjusted efficiency margin of +15.67 which has them ranked thirty-ninth in the nation. UAB comes into this contest averaging 83.5 points per game at home this season versus teams that normally only allow 70.7 points per game. On the defensive end of the hardwood the Blazers allow an average of 66.1 points per game versus teams that average 70.2 points per game. UAB has an offensive adjusted efficiency rating margin of +10.85 which has them ranked seventy-first in the nation. Our numbers favor the high side of tonight’s total. The TPR Index projects a game total of 153.6 points. The MM projects a total point differential of +8.07 against the current total range. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has an offensive-defensive differential of 7.42 with a transitional average of 42.35. The SIM Matrix has the OVER with a 73.99 percent advantage against the oddsmakers total in this contest. Play OVER on CBB teams with a total of 148.0 or lower with both teams off SU wins, TPR average of 152.25 or higher and an MM +7.75 or better, 87-53-3 Over including 10-0 Over if both teams have a win percentage of .625 or better on the year. With support for the high side of the oddsmakers total we will play this one to sail over that number in Birmingham tonight. OVER