This week’s college football system may seem odd in that we are playing on a team that has not done well against the spread during the regular season. In fact this plays right into our hands as the odds-makers do not give our play on team enough credit which in turn gives us solid line value in this particular situation.

SYSTEM: Play ON a Bowl team with 22+ days rest and a sub-.300% ATS record on the season not off a conference home underdog SU loss scoring less than 13 points vs. an opponent not off a SU win of 3+ points as a favorite of more than 5 points. This system has posted a record of 14-0-1 ATS since 1980 and averages covering the spread by 11.2 points per game.

The system has qualified three SEC teams the last three seasons. In fact it was Georgia last season and they are also the qualifying team this season. On January 1 2009 Georgia was active in this system and favored by nine over Michigan State and they went on to win the game 24 to 12. That win by Georgia gave the system it’s fourteenth win since 1980.

December 31 2008 LSU was a four-point underdog to Georgia Tech and the qualifying team in this system. They not only covered the four points they won the game outright 38 to 3. The previous season Alabama was favored by four points over Colorado in their bowl game winning 30 to 24 and giving the system another winner.

With all the system parameters met, this week’s Cajun Sports College Football System Play of the Week recommends a play ON the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over the Texas A&M Aggies in the Independence Bowl.

From all of us at Cajun Sports we want to wish each of you and your families a very happy and safe holiday season.
 

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