Each week during the college football season we take a look at a system that is active for one of the games on that week’s college football schedule. This week we are looking at an underdog that many may believe is a live underdog but our system says this dog doesn’t even have a pulse.

Last week’s Cajun Sports NCAA Football System of the Week qualified the Virginia Tech Hokies minus the points over the Maryland Terrapins and they won and covered for us with a final score of 36 to 9. Our system said to Play ON a team with 6+ days rest off a non-Saturday road favorite SU win (not an ATS win of more than 17 points) vs. an opponent off a road underdog SU loss. The record for the system was 21-0 ATS with Virginia Tech winning and covering the system improved to 22-0 ATS since 1993.

This week’s database research reveals a league-wide system that is active for one game on Saturday’s college football schedule. The system has only been active eleven times since 1981 winning straight up and covering the spread in all eleven games.

System: In its Final Game, play AGAINST a Saturday road underdog of 3½-33½ points seeking revenge for a home shutout SU loss and not off a conference SU loss of 7+ points (11-0 SU/ATS since 1981).

During the 2008 College Football season this system was active twice first on November 29th 2008 when USC was favored by 32 points over Notre Dame. Notre Dame was active in the system because the previous year (2007) they had lost to USC at home 38 to 0. Their trip to USC in 2008 had similar results as they lost 38 to 3 failing to cover the spread by 3 points and producing winner number 10 for our system. That game produced the smallest cover margin of any game in the system to date.

The second active date in 2008 was on December 6th with Troy favored over Arkansas State by 12 points. Arkansas State was active in the system because in 2007 they lost at home to Troy 27 to 0. Arkansas State traveled to Troy Alabama with revenge on their mind but once again came up short losing 35 to 9 failing to cover the spread by 14 points and giving us winner number 11 for the system.

This system has proven that certain road underdogs in their last game of the season struggle trying to avenge a home shutout loss. Teams active in this system have averaged losing the game by 30.0 points and failed to cover the spread by an average of 15.8 points per game. In other words these underdogs have flat lined, laymen’s terms they do not have a pulse.

Last season Iowa defeated Minnesota 55 to 0 in Minneapolis and this season the Gophers travel to Iowa City looking for revenge in the final game of their regular season schedule. With all of the system parameters met this week’s CAJUN SPORTS NCAA SYSTEM Game of the Week recommends a play AGAINST the Minnesota Gophers in their game versus the Iowa Hawkeyes. This makes our Play ON team the Iowa Hawkeyes on Saturday.
 

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